Analysis Of Cotton Production And Market Development Trend In Jingmen

< p > in order to master and understand this year's "a href=" //www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_c.asp "cotton production < /a" and market development trend, we should do a good job in the supply and management of cotton purchase funds.

The organizer of the Jingmen branch of the Agricultural Development Bank made an investigation of the cotton production and market situation in Jingmen city of Hubei Province in 2013. The cotton production in the whole city showed a trend of "three increase and one decrease", the market price remained low, and the market operation risk was relatively large.

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< p > < strong > 1. Cotton production showed a trend of "three increase and one decrease", < /strong > < /p >

< p > according to the prediction of Jingmen's agricultural sector, the cotton production in 2013 will show a trend of "three increase and one decrease".

That is, planting area increased, unit production slightly reduced, total output increased and cotton farmers' income increased.

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< p > (1) increased planting area.

According to the latest data from the Ministry of agriculture, the cotton planting area reached 506 thousand and 900 mu in 2013, an increase of 38 thousand and 400 mu compared with 468 thousand and 500 mu in 2012, an increase of 8.2%.

First, the price of cotton market is running at high price in recent years. The benefit of cotton planting is considerable, and the income of planting is higher than that of grain crops.

For example, the Jingshan branch of the Agricultural Development Bank found that the net income per mu in 2013 was 241 yuan higher than that in the middle and late rice.

Two, in recent years, the state has implemented a temporary cotton purchase and storage policy, which has given the cotton farmers a "reassurance" and the enthusiasm of cotton farmers to grow cotton is soaring.

This year, the national cotton temporary purchase and storage policy was announced to the society before the sowing of cotton, and the price of collecting and storing was still 20400 yuan per ton, keeping the level unchanged in 2012.

Three, the drought in some parts of Jingmen is more serious this year. Farmers converted part of paddy fields into cotton fields and pplanted cotton, which also led to an increase in cotton planting area.

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< p > (two) the unit output is slightly reduced.

It is estimated that in 2013, the average yield of seed cotton was 238 kg, which was 2 kg less than that of 240 kg in 2012, with a decrease of 0.83%.

The main reason is that since July, the whole city has been affected by the continuous high temperature and drought 1 weather, and the phenomenon of premature cotton is obvious, which is not conducive to the growth and development of autumn peach.

Although the measures of applying top manure, frequent foliar fertilizer, pruning and sprouting, comprehensive prevention and control of diseases and insect pests, and drought resistant harvest were achieved, the yield per unit area of cotton was still slightly lower than that of last year.

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< p > (three) total output increased.

Due to the increase in the area of < a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/" > cotton planting > /a >, the total output of seed cotton can reach 121 million 130 thousand kg, an increase of 9 million 270 thousand kg from 111 million 810 thousand kg in 2012, an increase of 8.29%.

According to the 38% of the lint rate, the cotton lint is 920 thousand pounds, an increase of 70 thousand and 500 over the same period.

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< p > (four) the income of cotton growers increased.

According to the national cotton temporary purchase and storage price of 20400 yuan / ton, cotton farmers can earn 938 million yuan, an increase of 72 million yuan compared to 2012.

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< p > strong > two, the market price of cotton is expected to be low, and the possibility of initiating temporary storage and storage plan is very large. < /strong > < /p >

< p > (1) the market price is expected to be low.

At present, the market is less than a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com" > lint spot < /a > price is about 19000 yuan per ton, according to cottonseed price 2 yuan / kg, the market price of seed cotton will not exceed 8 yuan / kg, and the cotton sold by the state has not exceeded 19000 yuan / ton, and the market price of cotton is expected to remain low.

By visiting cotton to buy processing enterprises and farmers, the expected price of farmers will not be lower than the expected value of the 20400 yuan / ton (GB three) of the state temporarily released this year. Therefore, it is very likely that the state will start the implementation plan for temporary storage and storage of cotton this year.

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< p > (two) the purchase price is relatively stable.

According to the price of 20400 yuan / ton of cotton temporary storage and storage released by the state in 2013, the lint percentage is calculated by 37% and the cottonseed is calculated at 2 yuan / kg. The seed cotton purchase price is about 8.4 yuan / kg. If the GB four grade is calculated, the seed cotton purchase price will be around 8 yuan / kg.

According to industry analysis, this year's international economic recovery is slow, and our country imports more cotton from abroad, and the price is cheap, the current price is about 16500 yuan / ton.

Domestic cotton < a target= "_blank" href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/" > textile < /a > industry has no demand for domestic cotton, the demand for downstream industries is slowing down, cotton prices are facing downward pressure, and the cotton market is still in a stage of oversupply.

After the new cotton is listed, the market price is mainly affected by the national cotton reserve price, the price is more stable, and there will not be a large passive phenomenon.

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< p > (three) the price of open scale is flat.

It is estimated that the cotton scale will be on sale around the end of August this year. It will start a large number of listings in the middle and September.

The price of cotton seed cotton is about 8 yuan / kg, which is basically the same as 2012.

Due to the impact of this year's high temperature and drought, the quality of cotton in the early stage is low, and the proportion of the four stage flowers is larger. In the middle and later stages of the acquisition, the purchase price may rise to about 8.4 yuan / kg with the improvement of the quality.

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< p > (four) enterprise acquisition is more rational.

In the survey visit, cotton processing enterprises have said that this year after the new cotton market will be rational market acquisition, so as to neither press down the price, nor raise the price, strictly in accordance with the state's cotton temporary purchase and storage price acquisition of farmers planted cotton, to protect the interests of cotton farmers.

There will be no resource rush to buy chaos, and the pursuit of higher prices in the purchase price.

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< p > < strong > three, the agricultural development bank increased the supply of cotton purchasing funds < /strong > < /p >

< p > Jingmen branch of the agricultural development bank supports the acquisition of cotton in 2013, and will increase the intensity of "a href=" //www.sjfzxm.com "cotton purchase" /a > capital supply and management.

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< p > (1) urge cotton loans to "clear up zero".

Since this year, the Jingmen branch of the Agricultural Development Bank has urged all county and city branches and cotton processing enterprises to speed up the processing and sales of cotton, and urge cotton loans to be cleared on time.

By mid July, the 785 million yuan cotton purchase loan put into operation in 2012 has been cleared for more than a month in advance. It has laid the foundation for the 2013 year cotton loan qualification declaration and the quota determination.

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< p > (two) to carry out enterprise credit rating.

The 7 enterprises participating in the cotton purchase in 2013 were evaluated by the branches of the counties and cities. They were assessed by the Jingmen branch. There were 3 credit enterprises of AA+ level, 2 AA grade credit enterprises, and 2 AA- level credit enterprises.

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< p > (three) timely reporting loan qualification.

On the basis of ensuring that the purchase loan is on schedule "zero clearing" and the enterprise credit rating reaches the standard, according to the forecast of the cotton production and market situation this year, and the acquisition and processing capacity and capital demand of the enterprises, the Jingmen branch reported to the Hubei provincial branch of the 7 cotton enterprises 2013 cotton annual acquisition loan qualification before August 10th, and was confirmed by the provincial branch.

First, according to the nature of the enterprise, cotton acquisition processing enterprises 6, that is, purchase and sale enterprises, and 1 cotton purchasing processing and textile integrated enterprises.

Two, according to the administrative division, in the 7 cotton processing enterprises, 3 counties in Shayang, 2 in Zhongxiang and 2 in Jingshan county can better solve the problem of "blank spots" and "sell cotton difficult" in regional acquisition, and earnestly protect the interests of cotton farmers.

Three, according to the ability to resist risks, 6 are identified as strategic customers, all of them are acquisition processing enterprises, and 1 are selective customers.

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< p > (four) determine the loan amount in time.

On the basis of the first trial of the Jingmen branch, the 7 loans for cotton processing and purchasing enterprises were promptly reported to the provincial branches for confirmation. It was determined that the maximum amount of loans for 7 cotton processing and processing enterprises in 2013 was 850 million yuan, of which the maximum loan amount of strategic customer loans was 790 million yuan, and the maximum amount of selective customer loans was 60 million yuan, which basically met the capital needs of enterprises.

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P > (five) strengthen the supervision of the acquisition funds.

The agricultural development bank should strengthen the supervision of the three links of cotton purchase fund. First, in the link of cotton purchase and loan, every county and city sub branch should handle full and effective enterprise assets mortgage, and use Guarantee Corporation to provide full guarantee loan.

For the acquisition of capital loans other than effective assets mortgage or guarantee, the chattel mortgage will continue to be implemented and supplemented by the third party supervision.

After purchasing seed cotton and processing cotton lint and packing the fiber inspection, the agricultural development bank should supervise the third party supervision company to send regulatory personnel to enter the country, and go through the standard pledge registration procedure.

The third party supervision companies should not only qualifying their qualifications, but also be included in the scope of the provincial branches, so as to achieve legal compliance and prevent and control the risk of cotton loans.

The two is in the inventory control link, we must adhere to the nuclear bank loan, check the bill payment, increase the strength of the inspection and patrol library. We must stick to the dynamic Treasury report. Cotton sales have a certain settlement period except for the national cotton storage and storage. The market sales must adhere to the effective closed-end management method of acquisition funds, such as the first payment, the goods and money, and the no credit sale, so as to ensure the closed operation of the acquisition funds.

Three, in the interest on loans, we should prevent the extracorporeal circulation of the acquisition funds, and sell the money to the enterprises in the accounts opened by the Agricultural Development Bank in a timely manner, and timely collect loans and receive interest, so as to ensure that the cotton purchase loan in 2013 is on schedule "zero clearing".

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< p > < strong > four, business operation mainly takes storage and storage, and market self-management is subsidiary, avoiding business risk < /strong > < /p >

< p > > a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com" > cotton market price < /a > low, and market operation risk is very great. It is suggested that cotton purchase processing enterprises should mainly sell national reserve cotton, and market self support as a supplement, so as to avoid operational risks.

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< p > (1) take an active part in the operation of national cotton store.

The agricultural development bank should urge enterprises to take an active part in the temporary acquisition and storage of cotton in the country. In accordance with the relevant regulations of the state, we should grasp the purchasing price and the quality of purchasing and processing so as to achieve "three quick", that is, quick acquisition, quick processing and quick storage.

From the acquisition, processing, storage schedule, the first is the big acquisition of cotton will generally grab at the end of 12 in 2013.

The two is < a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com > cotton processing > /a > we must start the processing in advance, buy and process at the same time, and strive to basically finish processing at the end of February 2014.

Three, cotton storage must be completed before the end of the March 31, 2014 national cotton temporary purchase and storage plan.

At the same time, the Agricultural Development Bank also needs to strengthen the supervision of the purchase price and processing quality of the national cotton reserves. On the one hand, we must urge the enterprises to purchase cotton farmers strictly according to the national cotton temporary purchase and storage price standard, so that they can neither press down the prices nor raise the prices.

If the purchase price is too low, it will damage the interests of cotton farmers, cotton farmers are unwilling to sell cotton, and enterprises can not get cotton. If the purchase price is too high, even if the purchase and processing of lint are all stored, the price risk will also lead to business risks.

On the other hand, we must supervise and urge enterprises to carry out processing according to the cotton quality standard stipulated by the Central Cotton store. We should organize the staff to carry out the "three wire" work before processing, and at the same time, we must separate the seed cotton according to different grades, so as to ensure the continuous improvement of the processing quality.

It is necessary to strictly implement the quality regulations on "cotton grades, cotton length, micron value, moisture regain, profiled fiber content, gross weight and number of exposed white goods, identical certificate of goods, packaging materials, hanging barcode" and so on.

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< p > (two) cautious participation in market operation.

In order to avoid the risk of business and the loan risk of the Agricultural Development Bank, the cotton purchase loan issued by the agricultural development bank will mainly support the acquisition and processing of cotton to participate in the acquisition, processing and storage of national cotton stores.

Enterprises should be cautious in participating in market acquisitions, and the agricultural development bank should also be cautious in supporting enterprise market acquisitions.

If enterprises want to take part in the market acquisition, they must insist on making decisions by collecting sales, collecting orders with effect, and purchasing orders.

The price of seed cotton should be pushed back according to the order lint price to avoid price risk.

Two, enterprises that take part in the market acquisition generally use their own funds or raise funds themselves. Enterprises must have 30% of their own assets in the current assets to participate in the acquisition of cotton. The enterprises' self financing mainly includes temporary investment of enterprise shareholders and fund raising by employees, etc., and the advance payment of enterprises can also be seen in the purchase of cotton with self financing funds.

For those market acquisitions that do have sales orders, we must also make quick acquisitions, quick processing and quick sales, improve the turnover of inventory and the efficiency of fund utilization.

At the same time, it is necessary to achieve "zero clearing" before the end of August to avoid operational risks.

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