Germany Is Expected To Regain Its Brilliant Textile Export Path

Transformation and upgrading does not mean that enterprises should "abandon their original industries and start a new business". Instead, they will shift their past comparative advantages to the main industries, and create new competitive advantages through innovation. In the future, the added value of products is expected to be slightly higher. Spin clothing And office supplies and electronics manufacturing will become the dominant industry of China's exports.

Although the share of the world's total exports will decline, this year Germany is still likely to become the runner up of world exports. This is the conclusion of a survey conducted by the German Chamber of Commerce and industry recently on the 85 foreign trade chambers of the world.

At first, it sounds contradictory, but relying on a stronger euro to boost the value of exports, Germany has a bright prospect of surpassing the United States as the runner up of world exports.

The anticipation of Germany, a veteran export country, has triggered renewed concern about the adjustment of global export pattern under the change of Global trade pattern. What challenges will China face as the only emerging market country in the world's export power group?

Germany is expected to regain its splendor

Whether Zhao Zhongxiu, vice president of University of International Business and Economics or Zhang Li, deputy director of the comprehensive strategic research office of the Ministry of Commerce, all agree that Germany will return to the throne of world export runner up.

In an interview with the international business daily, the two men pointed out that Germany is a large industrial manufacturing country with strong foundation. It not only mastered the sophisticated technology in the manufacturing field, but also affected the whole industry chain of production, processing, assembly and sale, and the products could meet all kinds of needs of high school and low industry, and the construction of the superior industries such as construction machinery was complete.

In contrast, although the United States has a slight advantage in science and technology, it has recently implemented a re industrialization strategy to attract the return of manufacturing industry. However, the level of manufacturing that is refluxing is still not comparable to the German industry which has been precipitated for many years. At the same time, the United States has dominated the world export power group for many years, mainly relying on the pricing power effect of the US dollar in the international trade market. From a close look, the major US exporters are mostly concentrated in agricultural products, electronic products and so on. "According to the added value of products, the export advantage products of the United States obviously can not be compared with Germany, whether it is a big exporter in the world, but it is calculated on the basis of export volume." Zhao Zhongxiu said. "After the European debt crisis broke out in 2009, Germany fell from the first throne of the world's export power, which is closely related to the decline in the total export volume brought about by the depreciation of the euro. Now, as the European debt crisis is postponed, the euro is strong again, and the German manufacturing industry has regained its glory. " Zhang Li said.

Innovation breakthrough in China

When it comes to the two big exporters of the United States and Germany, China has to be mentioned.

China is the only country to become an export power group as a newly industrialized country. Vofker Trier, the head of foreign trade of the German industrial and commercial conference, is quite optimistic about China. No matter what China is concerned, no other emerging industrial countries are likely to be among the world's export giants. He expects that in the next few years, the three big export giants of the United States, Germany and Japan will compete for the runner up of world exports.

But the recent foreign trade figures which are not very bright suggest that China's foreign trade prospects are not optimistic. "Now that foreign trade enterprises are attacked by both sides, the Southeast Asian enterprises with lower cost and the more advanced technology brands in Europe and the United States are going down, and the only way out is innovation." Fujian Luochi system shoes Chen Yinghong, general manager of Technology Development Co., Ltd.

But Zhang Li said frankly, transformation and upgrading, independent innovation is far from being that simple. She believes that in the future, China's foreign trade must take the road of "main industry plus more innovation".

Zhang Li stressed that Germany, the United States and Japan's export industries are flourishing and the main advantage industries are fundamental. For many years, the background of processing trade led to China's lack of the dominant industry in the international arena. Now that the state has introduced transformation and upgrading, many enterprises have misunderstood that they should abandon all old labour intensive industries and start a new business. "This is a misunderstanding." Zhang Li said.

According to the current research situation, Zhang Li pointed out that textile and clothing and office supplies and electronic manufacturing with slightly higher value-added products are expected to be the dominant industries in the future.

What we need to do in the future is to shift the past comparative advantage to the main industry and innovate to form a new competitive advantage. As for innovation, Zhang Li said that it is not enough to enhance innovation only with narrow sense of products and technology, and the content of economic management, including cognition of international rules, cognition of international product standards, etc., should be endowed with complete contents.

Finally, Zhang Li said that the current German manufacturing industry is the blueprint for the development of China's manufacturing industry. China needs to complete the structural transformation of foreign trade for at least another 5~10 years.