Narrowing Of Internal And External Prices, Textile Enterprises Are Improving

More than a dozen textile enterprises have held talks, including Dai Yin textile, Chi de textile, Huayuan eco technology, Longxiang textile, Fengrun textile and more than 100 thousand large and medium-sized enterprises. There are also small textile enterprises in Heze, Yuncheng, Dezhou, Xiajin and other small textile industrial clusters.

In communication, enterprises generally believe that the most difficult period of textile industry has passed, and the market will gradually become warmer.

It reflects that this year's market was better than last year.

Last year

The textile enterprises have been losing their profits, and this year, cotton prices have stabilized near 13000 yuan / ton. Textile companies dare to take a lot of orders and throw a lot of goods. Whether they are cotton or grey cloth, they have digested a lot of stocks in 4 and May.

In terms of profit, we tracked

And combing 40S yarn profits, this year will also show a rebound trend.

At present, 32S cotton yarn index price is 21355 yuan / ton, JC40S price is 25750 yuan / ton, cotton according to CCINDEX328 price index 13323 yuan / ton, combed noil 8000 yuan / ton, 32S loss coefficient 1.15, JC40S loss coefficient 1.3, remove wage costs, electricity costs, machine depreciation fees and so on 6000 yuan / ton and 8500 yuan / ton, 32S and JC40S gross profit are 800 yuan / ton and 2500 yuan / ton respectively.

Before the fall in cotton prices last year, the profits of the two countries were 300 yuan / ton and 1500 yuan / ton respectively.

In this way, the profitability of textile enterprises has improved this year.

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Under the guidance of Gaosheng water, the PTA futures warehouse receipt keeps refreshing the record level.

In May, although some of the warehouse receipts were digested, the remaining warehouse receipts remained at historically high levels.

From the specific data, the May contract was due to deliver 69208 warehouse receipts, equivalent to 346 thousand tons of PTA goods.

In mid May, the total volume of futures warehouse receipts forecast was still 160 thousand. After deducting the total volume of 69 thousand deliveries in May, there are still more than 9 tons of warehouse receipts remaining, about 450 thousand tons PTA.

In addition, there are market speculation that warehouse receipts may appear "ants move."

Part of the May delivery should be the current arbitrage in May and September, that is, the warehouse receipt will be pferred to September contract after receiving the goods in May.

"In fact, in mid March, the price difference between 5 and September exceeded 160 yuan / ton. The capital cost appropriate institutions are not only doing the current arbitrage, but also carrying out the operation in 5 and September directly when they are not in stock. That is to say, some deliveries of May contracts may not directly enter the spot market, but continue to stay in the delivery repository, waiting for the September contract to expire."

Wang Yuanyuan said.

Whether there will be a large number of deliveries on the September contract, market participants believe that on the one hand, it depends on whether the supply side will deteriorate. The first thing to consider is whether the new line of Xiang Lu can be opened up, which will play a decisive role in the digestion of warehouse receipts in the later stage.

From the results of this survey, both enterprises and investors believe that the hope of Xiang Lu installation in June is very slim. Therefore, in June, PTA may continue to maintain the relative balance between supply and demand.

At the same time, the September contract premium is expected to narrow, and the attraction of futures warehouse receipts will be weakened.

On the other hand, demand side polyester starts are expected to turn weak.

Although the start-up load of polyester factories is still at a very high level, there is no more bright spot for polyester downstream weaving.

Especially in the lower reaches of the PTA, the bottle industry will soon enter the traditional off-season, while the downstream demand for short fiber is not particularly optimistic. The demand side is not optimistic.

"From 6 to August, the weather is hot, limiting production and limiting electricity will restrict the operation of polyester, and the downloading load reduction is a big probability event. In September, the contract will still face certain stock pressure."

Insiders said.

In the view of Zhang De, the key to digest the PTA warehouse receipts in the late stage is to see the change of futures discount and the expectation of market participants to the market price.

At present, the "warehouse receipts boom" has gradually subsided, and the effect of the future market reservoir and pressure reducing valve is obvious.

No matter how to deduce the contract in September, it is the king of market.